Total Offense vs Total Defense
CANES 441.3 ypg (40th) vs UNC 312.3 ypg allowed (20th)
UNC 486.7 ypg (23rd) vs CANES 510 ypg allowed (118th)
Scoring Offense vs Scoring Defense
CANES 30.2 ppg (T-54th {WMU}) vs UNC 17.8 ppg allowed (26th)
UNC 44 ppg (9th) vs CANES 34.7 ppg allowed (101st)
Rushing Offense vs Rushing Defense
CANES 134.2 ypg (89th) vs UNC 86.3 ypg allowed (11th)
UNC 200.3 ypg (32nd) vs CANES 250.7 ypg allowed (116th)
Passing Offense vs Passing Defense
CANES 307.2 ypg (15th) vs UNC 226 ypg allowed (62nd)
UNC 286.3 ypg (31st) vs CANES 259.3 ypg allowed (91st)
Pass Efficiency vs Pass Efficiency Defense
CANES 132.7 (64th) vs UNC 113.16 (30th)
UNC 153.4 (22nd) vs CANES 146.79 (102nd)
TFLs Allowed vs TFLs
CANES 4.17 (T-18th {Ohio}) vs UNC 8.3 (T-6th {BYU, LSU})
UNC 6.17 (T-79th {VT, UK, UConn}) vs CANES 5.2 (T-82nd {Minnesota})
Sacks Allowed vs Sacks
CANES 1.17 pg (T-26th {USF, Arkansas St.}) vs UNC 2.5 pg (T-32nd {Arkansas, Missouri, Duke, Toledo, Cal, Temple, Oregon St.})
UNC .67 pg (T-11th {Ohio, Duke, Tulsa}) vs CANES 1.17 pg (T-102nd {Clemson})
3rd Down O vs 3rd Down D
CANES 45.1% (41st) vs UNC 34.78% (35th)
UNC 45.98% (36th) vs CANES 45% (T-94th {Idaho})
Time of Possession
CANES 24:54 pg (116th)
UNC 27:06 pg (107th)
Turnover Margin
CANES +3 (.6 pg) (T-33rd {LSU, Oregon, South Carolina})
UNC +5 (.83 pg) (T-23rd {New Mexico, Ohio St.})
Net Punting
CANES 35.43 avg (88th)
UNC 39.1 avg (31st)
Punt Returns vs Punt Return D
CANES 7 ypg (74th) vs UNC 3.3 ypg allowed (21st)
UNC 13.9 ypg (23rd) vs CANES 16.7 ypg allowed (115th)
Kick Returns vs Kick Return D
CANES 24.7 (29th) vs UNC 20.8 allowed (57th)
UNC 26.3 (18th) vs CANES 14.4 allowed (4th)
A couple of stats jump out at me here. First, their D vs the Run. It is very good. They are as you can see 11th in the nation in that category. Another that jumps out is the TFLs. They are tied for 6th with BYU and LSU in this category. They swarm to the ball carriers very quickly. Their Punt Return D is very good. They only allow 3.3 ypg here. The opportunities when we have them, we need to take advantage to give the O good field position. Our Run D will be tested tomorrow with trying to stop UNC RB Gio Bernard. He lit VT's vaunted D for over 200 yards last week.
In the end, I believe we'll make just enough plays to win. Gametime tomorrow is at 2:30 on ESPNU.
My prediction: CANES 38 Carolina 31
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